Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 125.253865 142.660297 161.905117 184.810248 211.393369 241.349004 277.768173
2025-12-28 103.929564 127.440312 155.661261 192.232869 238.662966 296.026475 372.856693
2026-01-04 90.070553 116.365813 149.833725 195.961662 258.520923 341.314939 460.688348
2026-01-11 78.528574 105.710252 141.948932 194.423844 269.504099 374.641201 535.828187
2026-01-18 71.725142 100.076536 139.443710 198.997031 288.384279 420.112450 633.745311
2026-01-25 64.889690 93.367961 134.321982 198.676785 299.414339 454.735132 719.638318
2026-02-01 59.893034 88.633095 131.312914 200.776935 313.848718 495.749019 821.169335
2026-02-08 54.258414 82.277322 125.067764 196.892298 317.919576 520.126640 897.769536
2026-02-15 50.646390 78.632636 122.549949 198.518382 330.953303 560.667596 1008.517185
2026-02-22 47.546332 75.464228 120.404041 200.379860 344.372515 603.245490 1129.303663
2026-03-01 43.542501 70.437022 114.694682 195.428309 344.952756 622.400898 1207.375827
2026-03-08 40.284970 66.360903 110.185960 192.053411 347.877272 646.036609 1297.801107
2026-03-15 37.854059 63.750486 108.409796 194.308071 363.419431 699.616384 1468.613266
2026-03-22 36.446934 62.825617 109.571173 202.316299 391.624968 783.816014 1726.290165
2026-03-29 34.599723 60.912736 108.710048 206.274106 412.160397 855.342742 1970.830056
2026-04-05 32.227276 57.797931 105.271371 204.646283 420.676871 901.973440 2165.354349
2026-04-12 30.871039 56.450252 105.039407 209.489159 443.824877 985.458800 2473.102155
2026-04-19 29.056698 54.051108 102.502258 209.150007 455.271058 1043.328724 2726.450825
2026-04-26 27.677881 52.375638 101.234661 211.374218 472.927409 1119.341438 3049.580436
2026-05-03 25.797961 49.536083 97.319279 207.260231 474.864577 1155.930413 3266.506272
2026-05-10 24.626611 48.035081 96.045046 208.982255 491.361750 1233.494906 3629.429009
2026-05-17 23.568077 46.675524 94.938407 210.953676 508.777764 1316.739259 4033.782413
2026-05-24 21.995998 44.108750 90.989319 205.709948 506.711907 1345.169298 4262.977951